TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Perugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniel Merida Aguilarof Liam Broady, Daniel Merida Aguilar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Liam Broady12c12,580$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.198,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Liam Broady2c8,884$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.847811.5%9 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Broady5c7,484$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.946,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa04…5521backed Liam Broady7c4,286$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Liam Broady6c3,999$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9615225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Liam Broady16c3,755$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf35a…ce87backed Liam Broady16c2,860$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704818.8%9 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…1e15backed Liam Broady6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Liam Broady16c1,642$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25619938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Liam Broady26c1,613$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.331,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar79c1,458$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0230847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Liam Broady9c1,248$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2522020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Liam Broady18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009913.1%13 W · 86 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Daniel Merida Aguilar78c1,076$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.641,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Liam Broady10c1,030$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liam Broady16c1,011$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Merida Aguilar80c1,005$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.473,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Liam Broady15c1,001$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.137421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Liam Broady15c933.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Liam Broady12c832.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Liam Broady23c832.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19557321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ad…a26ebacked Liam Broady3c829.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.07200%0 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Liam Broady21c782.22$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.781,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a4…d4d7backed Liam Broady14c722.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.62321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Liam Broady11c699.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.662,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Liam Broady18c655.56$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189544.2%42 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c644.59$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.591,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Liam Broady22c627.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.991,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar78c595$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.922245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar79c518.62$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9121257.5%122 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Liam Broady7c511.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.282,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Liam Broady24c508.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1585634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Daniel Merida Aguilar75c394.74$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.421,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Daniel Merida Aguilar78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6224975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar78c379.29$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6411158.6%65 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c337$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.621,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Liam Broady26c333.35$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8143347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Liam Broady16c327.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Liam Broady17c321.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5910729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Liam Broady24c319.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7648331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Liam Broady7c319.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.886,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Liam Broady11c286.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.923737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Liam Broady20c283.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6485348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Liam Broady20c283.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6465952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Liam Broady22c273.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.237738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Liam Broady25c264$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6645744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar77c260.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.843174.2%23 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed Daniel Merida Aguilar78c255.05$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.118154.3%44 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Daniel Merida Aguilar78c224.36$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3640554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Liam Broady13c213.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8485624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Liam Broady25c209.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3565942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x716c…e3a1backed Liam Broady18c200.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.561435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed Liam Broady5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010044%44 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Liam Broady12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Liam Broady11c139.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb0…2329backed Liam Broady11c132$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar78c131.82$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2910764.5%69 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c7…668abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar80c128.72$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.985867.2%39 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Daniel Merida Aguilar76c128.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1570456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x517f…7811backed Daniel Merida Aguilar77c123.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.382842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Liam Broady28c120.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7523932.6%78 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Daniel Merida Aguilar76c111.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2584968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Daniel Merida Aguilar76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2434761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…925dbacked Liam Broady26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8356…16b7backed Liam Broady18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186717.9%12 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Liam Broady24c95.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9123942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liam Broady13c95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.354,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ce…590abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar79c77.53$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.396041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Liam Broady26c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Liam Broady24c67.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2673748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Liam Broady24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157847.4%37 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar74c59.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.647854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Liam Broady22c58.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8451644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Liam Broady23c55.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7239443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Liam Broady22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…2899backed Daniel Merida Aguilar78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114669.6%32 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar76c49.92$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1220670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar74c49.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.877,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Daniel Merida Aguilar75c47.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Liam Broady25c40.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.115,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7167…0ee2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar76c34.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4825…29eebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar76c22.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.361573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed Daniel Merida Aguilar79c16.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.464763.8%30 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar75c15.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7875262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.