TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof EYEBALLERS, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance53c6,514$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.1867951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed EYEBALLERS53c3,366$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.0828960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance51c2,750$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.451,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Alliance51c2,370$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.641,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed EYEBALLERS41c2,264$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.855,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed EYEBALLERS45c1,979$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.534,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed EYEBALLERS46c1,500$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.571,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Alliance63c1,242$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.891,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance61c1,202$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.164,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked EYEBALLERS30c1,129$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.893,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed EYEBALLERS30c1,104$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3866436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed EYEBALLERS49c895.73$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed EYEBALLERS39c700$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.364058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Alliance60c649.64$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.32,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Alliance51c592.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.1152456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e2…9aeebacked EYEBALLERS51c560.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.35240.4%21 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked EYEBALLERS43c545.54$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.227,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Alliance51c539.75$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7615732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked Alliance61c539.56$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7511949.6%59 W · 60 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Alliance53c499.6$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.65,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Alliance67c467.2$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9638259.7%228 W · 154 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed EYEBALLERS44c408.26$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17810541%43 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked EYEBALLERS46c380.3$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17535550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed EYEBALLERS45c370$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.210151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance54c369.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9785358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed EYEBALLERS47c349.72$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9159049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Alliance62c323.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8235953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked Alliance66c303.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.764158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Alliance48c284.42$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.418754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed EYEBALLERS53c274.76$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7348635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EYEBALLERS41c270.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.256,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked EYEBALLERS34c269.31$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.942,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed EYEBALLERS55c268.64$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0429455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed EYEBALLERS53c257.11$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.672,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed EYEBALLERS43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed EYEBALLERS38c230$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8814037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed EYEBALLERS46c215.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…a2dfbacked EYEBALLERS42c213.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906050%30 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed EYEBALLERS52c200.02$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.437958.2%46 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed EYEBALLERS50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10083643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked EYEBALLERS50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c5…6b9abacked EYEBALLERS23c198.04$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed EYEBALLERS53c177$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8119762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked EYEBALLERS48c174.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.153,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Alliance58c171.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.84,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed Alliance65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed EYEBALLERS63c159.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.5%165 W · 138 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked EYEBALLERS44c158.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9635043.1%151 W · 199 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed EYEBALLERS50c152.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7614339.9%57 W · 86 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Alliance54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6932844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Alliance54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6945745.1%206 W · 251 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed EYEBALLERS34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8289630.7%275 W · 621 L-64.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fd8…54b3backed EYEBALLERS47c131.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211850%59 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Alliance55c130.78$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8519147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Alliance63c125.45$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.725,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x533a…89aabacked EYEBALLERS32c119$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.492630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Alliance46c109.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.472763%17 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed EYEBALLERS23c105.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.329145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e4…7161backed EYEBALLERS28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed Alliance49c102.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5411937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef0…88abbacked EYEBALLERS45c102.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464537.8%17 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2fb…8949backed EYEBALLERS38c101.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Alliance57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4337050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed EYEBALLERS31c97.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked EYEBALLERS43c95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8591648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked Alliance53c94.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6415455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked EYEBALLERS46c92.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5511144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed EYEBALLERS43c91.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4436749.6%182 W · 185 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Alliance69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.92466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Alliance59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7566162.6%414 W · 247 L+29.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked EYEBALLERS50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0529…44bbbacked Alliance45c79.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5719455.2%107 W · 87 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed EYEBALLERS41c75.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.884,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed EYEBALLERS42c69.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed EYEBALLERS61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed EYEBALLERS52c65.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked EYEBALLERS26c60.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4216752.1%87 W · 80 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Alliance49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.627735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed EYEBALLERS37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.22,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Alliance51c59.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3737448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Alliance43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1420145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd652…6354backed EYEBALLERS36c57.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5513757.7%79 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…6834backed EYEBALLERS56c57.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52cd…85fbbacked EYEBALLERS31c53.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6336942%155 W · 214 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked EYEBALLERS49c51.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.553,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked EYEBALLERS27c51.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7816849.4%83 W · 85 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Alliance50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2570032%224 W · 476 L-45.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked EYEBALLERS47c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.480741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed EYEBALLERS47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked EYEBALLERS53c45.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2437140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755e…7de2backed EYEBALLERS34c44.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Alliance55c40.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2565254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked EYEBALLERS41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.466753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked EYEBALLERS50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Alliance44c39.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2644654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Alliance53c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2728644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Alliance58c37.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EYEBALLERS47c34.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.075,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed EYEBALLERS37c33.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5321741.5%90 W · 127 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62c5…bf75backed Alliance64c31.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.133275%24 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.