CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1054e955dd9be664be55bbc2e9df12ff64130c46f2ae553777d5c2baea34383b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof EYEBALLERS, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x892c…b9edbacked EYEBALLERS | 45c | 2,383$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Alliance | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed EYEBALLERS | 44c | 1,802$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.01 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Alliance | 46c | 329.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.09 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked EYEBALLERS | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Alliance | 58c | 208$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked EYEBALLERS | 48c | 200.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Alliance | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Alliance | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Alliance | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Alliance | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked EYEBALLERS | 45c | 195.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed EYEBALLERS | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Alliance | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed EYEBALLERS | 75c | 122$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Alliance | 56c | 116.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed EYEBALLERS | 49c | 106.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Alliance | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Alliance | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Alliance | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Alliance | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Alliance | 41c | 89.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Alliance | 41c | 82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked EYEBALLERS | 68c | 74.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Alliance | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked EYEBALLERS | 46c | 70.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Alliance | 74c | 67.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Alliance | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…436cbacked EYEBALLERS | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Alliance | 30c | 33.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked EYEBALLERS | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed EYEBALLERS | 40c | 27.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed Alliance | 57c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alliance | 53c | 20.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)EYEBALLERS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.