CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x643ba5b00e085eb81a52a71431f529fd6dff11256185920fd634b995c937cce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EYEBALLERSof EYEBALLERS, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance | 51c | 11,246$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.62 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed EYEBALLERS | 49c | 4,136$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.44 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EYEBALLERS | 49c | 3,274$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed EYEBALLERS | 51c | 1,400$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.78 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked EYEBALLERS | 50c | 840.6$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.3 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked EYEBALLERS | 50c | 518.38$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed EYEBALLERS | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed EYEBALLERS | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked EYEBALLERS | 57c | 166.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed EYEBALLERS | 59c | 162.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed EYEBALLERS | 50c | 155.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed EYEBALLERS | 58c | 130$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked EYEBALLERS | 49c | 101.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed EYEBALLERS | 52c | 94.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alliance | 44c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed EYEBALLERS | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed EYEBALLERS | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…fdf3backed Alliance | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)EYEBALLERS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.