Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcce33fe8b98b4c02a88ce120d3b5c4139f52a4bf680eec1fc5ce5c5e4bac88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 60c | 3,361$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.22 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 43c | 3,327$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.42 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 60c | 1,115$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 54c | 746$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.84 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Over | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 63c | 555$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 59c | 476.4$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.17 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Over | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 54c | 429$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.66 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 62c | 425.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…c3a4backed Over | 63c | 394.56$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 54c | 393$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 37c | 388.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.64 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…086abacked Over | 64c | 313.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 37c | 255.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 43c | 232.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 57c | 227.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 37c | 225$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 63c | 200.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 60c | 196.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 63c | 155.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 39c | 142.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 109.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Over | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 62c | 104.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 61c | 98.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 60c | 82.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Over | 65c | 77.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 57c | 68.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Under | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 38c | 66.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 37c | 60.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Under | 37c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -13.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 37c | 28.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 65c | 25.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…9831backed Under | 46c | 23.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 58c | 17.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)Solary won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+2.5)Solary won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.