TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Solaryof Solary, Karmine Corp Blue
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Solary80c10,643$8,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.5492254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp Blue15c10,169$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.7889746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Karmine Corp Blue30c5,180$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55443539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Karmine Corp Blue16c4,202$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8610024%24 W · 76 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Karmine Corp Blue13c3,104$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Solary70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp Blue26c2,651$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.681,01447.6%483 W · 531 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Solary70c2,566$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.851,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Karmine Corp Blue15c2,477$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.961,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Karmine Corp Blue21c2,363$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.211,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Solary72c2,296$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.5664455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Karmine Corp Blue3c2,156$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.74314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Karmine Corp Blue1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Karmine Corp Blue23c1,836$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5613632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp Blue32c1,750$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.491,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Solary68c1,450$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46464849.8%323 W · 325 L-25.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked Karmine Corp Blue30c1,378$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.36829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Karmine Corp Blue28c1,319$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8741439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Solary68c1,250$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,15355.9%645 W · 508 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Karmine Corp Blue18c1,177$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5346637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Karmine Corp Blue1c1,028$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2869841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Solary69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31016155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed Karmine Corp Blue1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101543.9%6 W · 148 L-0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-87%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Solary75c996.36$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.471,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed Solary66c900$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30328959.2%171 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp Blue31c899.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2791,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Karmine Corp Blue31c660$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.632939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Solary64c590$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.434651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp Blue21c576$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.813,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Karmine Corp Blue17c572.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp Blue24c559.52$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2886943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Solary67c554.98$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1414352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp Blue27c539.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.211,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Solary70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Solary69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15566459.8%397 W · 267 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Solary65c499.99$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5886758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Karmine Corp Blue26c498.28$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2378043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Karmine Corp Blue14c494.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.481,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Karmine Corp Blue22c459.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.61,45613.2%192 W · 1,264 L-111.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea7e…2c67backed Karmine Corp Blue9c447.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6645551.9%236 W · 219 L+26.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp Blue31c431$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.122,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Karmine Corp Blue25c422.54$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8548747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Karmine Corp Blue31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Solary74c397.6$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3830856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Solary76c362.69$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.152,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Karmine Corp Blue7c360$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7260124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Karmine Corp Blue14c359.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.333251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Karmine Corp Blue15c357.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5719340.4%78 W · 115 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Solary73c334.72$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.622,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Karmine Corp Blue12c324.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0132566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Solary65c311$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.521,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Solary70c299.25$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.782,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Solary68c259$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7910150.5%51 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Karmine Corp Blue29c255.17$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7447630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Karmine Corp Blue33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Karmine Corp Blue25c230.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5974637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Karmine Corp Blue24c213.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2775342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Karmine Corp Blue20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4069642.4%295 W · 401 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Karmine Corp Blue37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Solary70c197.65$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7924650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Karmine Corp Blue30c197$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8133632.4%109 W · 227 L-16.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Karmine Corp Blue33c190$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.788949.6%441 W · 448 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed Karmine Corp Blue19c187.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535943.5%156 W · 203 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Solary70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5460943.2%263 W · 346 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b2…2745backed Karmine Corp Blue17c180$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012030.8%37 W · 83 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Karmine Corp Blue26c172.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9728048.6%136 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp Blue21c169.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.891,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…706cbacked Karmine Corp Blue28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Solary66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5170757%403 W · 304 L+35.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp Blue26c145.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.891,34847.3%637 W · 711 L-33.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc1…7f52backed Karmine Corp Blue14c143.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.12714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-77%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Karmine Corp Blue19c131.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.811,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Karmine Corp Blue26c130.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3439244.9%176 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Karmine Corp Blue29c124.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620439.2%80 W · 124 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed Karmine Corp Blue15c121.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Solary68c119.03$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.931,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4573…1c07backed Karmine Corp Blue14c110.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Karmine Corp Blue20c104.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8930632%98 W · 208 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked Karmine Corp Blue20c100.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Karmine Corp Blue10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015031.3%47 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Karmine Corp Blue15c99.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9935223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Karmine Corp Blue30c93.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2847434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd933…6a68backed Karmine Corp Blue13c90.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-82.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Solary64c89.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99e…74abbacked Karmine Corp Blue28c71.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Karmine Corp Blue28c71.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048537.9%184 W · 301 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c5…6483backed Karmine Corp Blue32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026958%156 W · 113 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed Karmine Corp Blue16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Karmine Corp Blue33c61.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1958437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Solary71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3423880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karmine Corp Blue30c52.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.861,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Karmine Corp Blue36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189450%47 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Karmine Corp Blue36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Karmine Corp Blue31c49.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3832436.7%119 W · 205 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x560e…158ebacked Karmine Corp Blue30c46.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed Solary68c46.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.864749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Solary64c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5654824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Solary69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481,25554.1%679 W · 576 L-30.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Karmine Corp Blue31c39.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.311,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c15…a96cbacked Solary78c33.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3930466.4%202 W · 102 L+34.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.