Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99901b743d5a7918f1d60c08d43c93afa67189f35264310ce3597a29167ccdbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Karmine Corp Blue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Solary | 72c | 13,896$10,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.04 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Solary | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary | 69c | 4,115$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.39 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 3,986$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.8 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Solary | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.89 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 2,781$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.59 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 2,616$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.21 | 136 | 32.4%44 W · 92 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Karmine Corp Blue | 27c | 2,580$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.03 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Solary | 70c | 2,560$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.05 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…98a4backed Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 2,504$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.7 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 3c | 2,156$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Karmine Corp Blue | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 29c | 1,962$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.5 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 1,772$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.84 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp Blue | 22c | 1,580$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.49 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp Blue | 34c | 1,329$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.77 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Karmine Corp Blue | 32c | 1,322$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.43 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Karmine Corp Blue | 25c | 1,312$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Solary | 77c | 1,306$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 29c | 1,304$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.98 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 27c | 1,284$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.83 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Solary | 73c | 1,276$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Solary | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Solary | 72c | 1,231$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.68 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 24c | 1,167$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.15 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Solary | 72c | 1,062$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 997 | 56.6%564 W · 433 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Solary | 70c | 1,040$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.04 | 858 | 52.3%449 W · 409 L | +35.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Solary | 75c | 1,029$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.02 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Solary | 79c | 1,009$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.06 | 248 | 58.1%144 W · 104 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 925$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 895$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Karmine Corp Blue | 26c | 893.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.38 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 26c | 881.92$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 21c | 839.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Solary | 66c | 828.6$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.8 | 648 | 49.8%323 W · 325 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Solary | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 1,223 | 58.1%710 W · 513 L | +43.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Karmine Corp Blue | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 864 | 51.4%444 W · 420 L | +52.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Solary | 67c | 776.98$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.4 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 684.37$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…875abacked Solary | 74c | 680.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 300 | 57.7%173 W · 127 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Karmine Corp Blue | 25c | 656.06$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 614.94$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 600.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 16c | 559.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,456 | 13.2%192 W · 1,264 L | -111.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 31c | 542.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Solary | 70c | 506.55$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Solary | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Solary | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 451.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 391 | 40.4%158 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 427.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Karmine Corp Blue | 35c | 420$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Solary | 77c | 390.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 351 | 59.5%209 W · 142 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Solary | 71c | 388.76$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Karmine Corp Blue | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Karmine Corp Blue | 27c | 359.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 247 | 50.2%124 W · 123 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 355.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 355.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Karmine Corp Blue | 10c | 353.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp Blue | 26c | 352$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Karmine Corp Blue | 26c | 338.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 520 | 46%239 W · 281 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 334.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 333.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 330.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Solary | 77c | 309.74$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 287.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 696 | 42.4%295 W · 401 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 32c | 280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Solary | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Solary | 71c | 249.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Solary | 70c | 230$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Solary | 72c | 223.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 679 | 57.9%393 W · 286 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Karmine Corp Blue | 27c | 202.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp Blue | 34c | 202.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Solary | 68c | 181.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Karmine Corp Blue | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 274 | 32.5%89 W · 185 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Solary | 71c | 160$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Karmine Corp Blue | 17c | 159.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 359 | 43.5%156 W · 203 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Solary | 68c | 159.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 26c | 158.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Solary | 72c | 152.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Karmine Corp Blue | 27c | 148$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Solary | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Solary | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 485 | 53.4%259 W · 226 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…94dabacked Solary | 71c | 141.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Solary | 75c | 135.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 27c | 134.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…2be1backed Solary | 70c | 127.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Solary | 71c | 123.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Solary | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 423 | 69.3%293 W · 130 L | +34.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Solary | 71c | 105.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…ccd7backed Karmine Corp Blue | 27c | 102.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Solary | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 251 | 51%128 W · 123 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Karmine Corp Blue | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153e…7d1bbacked Solary | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 19c | 98.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Solary | 70c | 97.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 93.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)Solary won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+2.5)Solary won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.