TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TDKof TDK, Nemiga
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK45c11,942$5,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,594.235,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TDK67c9,105$6,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.133,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga39c7,289$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8471,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed TDK44c7,089$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nemiga55c6,262$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.1575652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TDK47c6,040$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.722,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed Nemiga56c4,802$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6854055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked TDK47c3,878$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.341,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Nemiga52c3,671$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.514947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed Nemiga53c3,500$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8553043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Nemiga55c3,123$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.716245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nemiga33c2,965$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.671,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Nemiga56c2,075$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.7422044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Nemiga39c1,991$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.4828960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked TDK47c1,612$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.6313351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed TDK64c1,570$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.962248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Nemiga56c1,520$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.2320249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f8…ecc1backed Nemiga33c1,506$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Nemiga54c1,500$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.2692456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed TDK50c1,414$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.6617034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Nemiga28c1,149$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7919342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed TDK49c1,114$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.0125747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Nemiga56c1,068$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.8616544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TDK61c1,054$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.282,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed TDK44c1,049$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.6866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Nemiga5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Nemiga51c1,000$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.0955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Nemiga56c999.99$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55555843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Nemiga50c915.45$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3360848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed TDK65c911.95$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2819447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Nemiga56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4489642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed TDK45c791.51$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.5364854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880f…8a04backed TDK56c786$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3444450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed TDK44c750$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a4…f92ebacked Nemiga48c749.96$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.494334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked Nemiga57c725.45$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.1620935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcac4…d1acbacked Nemiga56c723.29$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.042040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Nemiga43c700$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.264058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK60c689.11$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.237,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TDK45c668.8$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.842,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…1f13backed Nemiga55c610$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Nemiga55c583.14$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.733138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK71c559.47$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.082,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…172abacked TDK44c511.03$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked TDK45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked TDK44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked TDK44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802584%21 W · 4 L+7.2wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+65.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed TDK44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed TDK44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked TDK44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked TDK45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed TDK49c499.99$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.52,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TDK61c492.32$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TDK68c483.77$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.23,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga30c465.28$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.452,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Nemiga34c435.64$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1211354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga55c435.34$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.711,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TDK44c420$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Nemiga24c419.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga44c414.32$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.014,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nemiga29c407$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0357641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa943…bcbebacked Nemiga56c389.54$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed TDK46c373.26$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1620353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff2…8ea1backed Nemiga19c350.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.272850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Nemiga56c342.6$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8646447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nemiga31c327.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.381,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga40c321$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.635,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Nemiga52c315$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed TDK67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga55c296.88$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.141,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga29c292.14$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.972,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Nemiga41c289.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.482,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed TDK43c270$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3699148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Nemiga37c269.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Nemiga46c268.23$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3945238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Nemiga56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Nemiga32c254.51$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9121949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Nemiga55c248.31$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.071,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Nemiga33c243.21$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4628173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3785…f577backed Nemiga56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked TDK49c236.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3458745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed TDK50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed TDK45c218.6$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2329455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked TDK44c204.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.271560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked TDK42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11658343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed TDK44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9940155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f0…3068backed Nemiga34c186.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Nemiga59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.291945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Nemiga55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9931647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e98…8ff2backed Nemiga56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Nemiga56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked TDK74c176.67$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4810442.3%44 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…dbf7backed TDK57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed TDK60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed TDK67c164.89$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.612,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2b…a9e4backed Nemiga36c162.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.493237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked TDK67c160.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.164,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…2b32backed Nemiga54c157.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.892669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed TDK45c155.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4122059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Nemiga43c154.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.011,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.