CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x432a4219e30dc08ced80fb585fd6b76e52d00fcdef4711c9062e6bf21a5365a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof TDK, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Nemiga | 60c | 3,158$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.62 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK | 39c | 1,379$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.12 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked TDK | 41c | 955.76$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.86 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked TDK | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed TDK | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Nemiga | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TDK | 42c | 507$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked TDK | 41c | 264.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked TDK | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nemiga | 71c | 249.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Nemiga | 64c | 248$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Nemiga | 59c | 231.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Nemiga | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 63c | 210$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed TDK | 40c | 207.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Nemiga | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 69c | 194.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nemiga | 78c | 128.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked TDK | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed TDK | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Nemiga | 58c | 119.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nemiga | 57c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Nemiga | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 40c | 67.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TDK | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked TDK | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TDK | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TDK | 30c | 52.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed TDK | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed TDK | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Nemiga | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.