CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1636fe22910dd3d945044181c3cff904f4a94279ab6cbe5ef0d203d311b0a0c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Nemiga | 59c | 1,787$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.09 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nemiga | 55c | 995.5$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.57 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TDK | 70c | 674.78$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked TDK | 46c | 556.25$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 45c | 525$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TDK | 45c | 464$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.95 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Nemiga | 55c | 457$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Nemiga | 57c | 382$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Nemiga | 56c | 273.88$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TDK | 39c | 273$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.68 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK | 38c | 269.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TDK | 50c | 249$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 59c | 201.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 45c | 175.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 55c | 163.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TDK | 46c | 157.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Nemiga | 56c | 88.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed TDK | 41c | 84.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Nemiga | 23c | 75.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga | 20c | 68.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Nemiga | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked TDK | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 28c | 57.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed TDK | 43c | 52.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked TDK | 46c | 38.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Nemiga | 59c | 23.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed TDK | 54c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.