Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d6b9934a7557b2082e4e534a84aa88e997ac488b78210d9723fa08cd50ce29c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOIof Movistar KOI, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Team Vitality | 62c | 40,103$25,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,047.09 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 23,570$8,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,849.1 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Movistar KOI | 38c | 16,083$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,971.3 | 591 | 48.2%285 W · 306 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…4879backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 14,618$5,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,209.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Team Vitality | 63c | 12,800$8,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,064 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Movistar KOI | 38c | 8,569$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.04 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Team Vitality | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Vitality | 61c | 5,114$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.36 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Vitality | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…7c51backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 3,530$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Movistar KOI | 39c | 3,358$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.23 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Team Vitality | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Vitality | 63c | 978.1$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 964.91$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.24 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Movistar KOI | 37c | 863.19$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.81 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team Vitality | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Vitality | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 162 | 38.9%63 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Movistar KOI | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Team Vitality | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 295$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.28 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 36c | 266.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Movistar KOI | 38c | 242.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Vitality | 62c | 212.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Team Vitality | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Movistar KOI | 38c | 157.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Movistar KOI | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…f385backed Team Vitality | 63c | 89.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Movistar KOI | 39c | 87.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 81.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 81.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Team Vitality | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Team Vitality | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Team Vitality | 64c | 60.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Vitality | 63c | 43.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 34.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 311 | 37.6%117 W · 194 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Team Vitality | 63c | 33.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Team Vitality | 62c | 24.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Team Vitality | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Team Vitality | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 219 | 45.2%99 W · 120 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Team Vitality | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Team Vitality | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.