Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf64dea2ead50488382f80315c9dbac131905e673e0b31668dc270c74ab4a8ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 36c | 726.39$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.96 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 27c | 554.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.14 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 65c | 404$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.12 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 71c | 252.05$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 76c | 222.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 27c | 221.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…f82bbacked Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 77c | 193.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 67c | 157.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 73c | 133.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…086abacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 33c | 132$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 59c | 129.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Over | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…d27cbacked Over | 38c | 95.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 21c | 90.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 26c | 89.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…4a4cbacked Over | 73c | 79.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 67c | 78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 79c | 73.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 73c | 59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 36c | 52.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked Under | 35c | 46.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…1240backed Under | 70c | 43.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…73bebacked Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 31.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…7fd6backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…d497backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Movistar KOI won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.