Tennis · resolved market
Merida Open Akron: Cadence Brace vs Zeynep Sonmez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5bac483604b731f6da7d4695d390bce110acf8eb50a2aec9e9c8a5878bc330e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonmezof Brace, Sonmez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Brace | 28c | 25,464$7,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,121.54 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Sonmez | 72c | 20,000$14,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brace | 15c | 9,765$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.78 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Sonmez | 78c | 9,500$7,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brace | 10c | 3,750$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.56 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Brace | 28c | 1,873$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.06 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sonmez | 72c | 1,800$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.95 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Sonmez | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sonmez | 73c | 1,314$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.67 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Brace | 17c | 1,223$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Brace | 27c | 1,185$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Sonmez | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brace | 29c | 964$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sonmez | 72c | 892.09$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Brace | 27c | 750$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Brace | 14c | 721.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Brace | 29c | 506$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Brace | 13c | 500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brace | 15c | 439.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Brace | 17c | 434.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Brace | 8c | 416.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Sonmez | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 209 | 53.6%112 W · 97 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Brace | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Brace | 27c | 353$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Brace | 27c | 342$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Brace | 28c | 299$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Sonmez | 72c | 278.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sonmez | 71c | 255.77$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Brace | 29c | 215.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Brace | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sonmez | 75c | 183.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Brace | 27c | 175.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Sonmez | 72c | 173.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Brace | 30c | 159.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Brace | 21c | 142.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brace | 28c | 131.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Brace | 13c | 110.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Sonmez | 71c | 107.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Sonmez | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Sonmez | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Sonmez | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Brace | 12c | 83.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brace | 30c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Brace | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Brace | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sonmez | 68c | 70.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Sonmez | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Brace | 26c | 69.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Brace | 29c | 68.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Sonmez | 74c | 67.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…2484backed Brace | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Sonmez | 71c | 60.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brace | 26c | 53.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Sonmez | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sonmez | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Brace | 27c | 40.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Brace | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…9f97backed Sonmez | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Sonmez | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…b7d7backed Sonmez | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Sonmez | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 474 | 47.9%227 W · 247 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Sonmez | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Sonmez | 75c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Sonmez | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.