Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Raphael Perot vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70749fd135e66f4ba1ec6f03615a2b4e2b83340c153794d6f0d8df9e3a665c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Herbertof Perot, Herbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Herbert | 79c | 1,746$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.93 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Perot | 19c | 1,320$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.95 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Perot | 6c | 1,216$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Perot | 26c | 623.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.95 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Herbert | 80c | 457$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Perot | 37c | 433.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Herbert | 63c | 420.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Herbert | 78c | 418.6$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Herbert | 65c | 379$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Herbert | 67c | 356$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Herbert | 66c | 349$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Perot | 24c | 342.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Herbert | 62c | 336$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Perot | 23c | 283.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Perot | 43c | 281.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Herbert | 60c | 265.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Perot | 38c | 263.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Perot | 22c | 217.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Perot | 40c | 210.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Perot | 5c | 205.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Perot | 39c | 187.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Herbert | 69c | 177.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Herbert | 60c | 167.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Perot | 41c | 164.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Perot | 18c | 114.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Perot | 22c | 98.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Perot | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Perot | 40c | 95.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Perot | 39c | 88.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Herbert | 58c | 81.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Herbert | 60c | 72.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Herbert | 62c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Herbert | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Perot | 36c | 54.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Herbert | 60c | 50.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Perot | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Perot | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Perot | 32c | 46.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Herbert | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Herbert | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Herbert | 74c | 17.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Herbert | 63c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.