Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Hugo Grenier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe44d8bb15adcfc706700831f702b84c1372a3a081a29cddf66502788751b3c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Strickerof Stricker, Grenier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,553 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Stricker | 55c | 2,344$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.63 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Grenier | 45c | 2,113$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.59 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grenier | 10c | 2,108$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.64 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Grenier | 45c | 1,849$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.55 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grenier | 7c | 1,543$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stricker | 64c | 1,316$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.72 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Grenier | 45c | 1,157$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Grenier | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stricker | 77c | 1,080$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Grenier | 30c | 787.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Grenier | 45c | 742.72$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.22 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grenier | 43c | 539.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Grenier | 46c | 486.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Stricker | 55c | 483.55$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Stricker | 56c | 462.56$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Grenier | 46c | 402.11$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grenier | 6c | 399.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Grenier | 14c | 379.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Grenier | 22c | 336.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Grenier | 43c | 313.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Grenier | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Grenier | 43c | 299.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Stricker | 57c | 299.44$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Stricker | 79c | 298.73$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Grenier | 47c | 288$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Grenier | 45c | 222.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Grenier | 23c | 218.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Grenier | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Stricker | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Grenier | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Grenier | 45c | 196$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Stricker | 56c | 179.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Stricker | 54c | 165$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grenier | 46c | 161.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Grenier | 47c | 158.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Grenier | 22c | 154$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…bc3abacked Grenier | 7c | 152.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Stricker | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Grenier | 44c | 142.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stricker | 69c | 138.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Grenier | 30c | 125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Stricker | 80c | 119.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grenier | 45c | 108.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Grenier | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Stricker | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Stricker | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stricker | 61c | 88.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Stricker | 57c | 80.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Grenier | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Stricker | 59c | 75.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Stricker | 55c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Stricker | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Grenier | 33c | 67.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Grenier | 44c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Grenier | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Grenier | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Grenier | 25c | 54.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stricker | 58c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Grenier | 40c | 47.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Stricker | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Stricker | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Grenier | 46c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…b344backed Stricker | 54c | 30.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Stricker | 67c | 27.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.