Premier League · resolved market
Will Coventry City FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d7dc0544e1fad3782df3f7f8475cf5ac56a7afe55ba65b85f7b2c1fb6383b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 8c | 1,306$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 25c | 1,074$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 22c | 1,041$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.29 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 76c | 798.47$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.26 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 241.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 16c | 211$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 120.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 57c | 102.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked No | 21c | 98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 73.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 66.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed No | 21c | 53.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +9.9wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 73c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 17.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coventry City FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.