Europa Conference League · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe75fccf12b9df83c4c2eb6c34dccff55334f877c1872ec3ef9df02fe3f6b4365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,045$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.95 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 45c | 532.1$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 65c | 495.22$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 30c | 283.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 44c | 227$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 44c | 153$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 44c | 148$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 56c | 125.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 43c | 96.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 92.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 44c | 92.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…832dbacked Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked No | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 45.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Yes | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Yes | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 45c | 33.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 76c | 32.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Yes | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 30.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Yes | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Yes | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Yes | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Yes | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.