Europa Conference League · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ed04922f13ed6323aa33c90dd604f19257030241e84891ab2a93f44ca25df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,734$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 57c | 2,254$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 31c | 1,249$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.53 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 980.51$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.61 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 14c | 558.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 265.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f3b3backed Over | 58c | 246.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 43c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 66.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 43c | 52.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…832dbacked Over | 57c | 52.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 44.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 58c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 55c | 35.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 57c | 34.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 58c | 26.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.