Europa Conference League · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bcae1526156c32097079271586a80a27366b034f353702107002b0ceb94c9a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,907$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.37 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 350.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 67c | 253.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Under | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 98.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 21c | 97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 20c | 92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 21c | 83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 62.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 28c | 53.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 42c | 35.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 80c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 77cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over | 79c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.