Europa Conference League · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f9714df951facbec7e146584ba5f028a35650bdd37c527ae7ab37bffb60950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 750.45$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.61 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 385.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 66c | 294$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 34c | 142$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 64c | 117.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Over | 34c | 117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Over | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 65c | 81.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc261…4058backed Over | 36c | 75.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 66c | 60.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…6cf5backed Under | 66c | 45.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…53cfbacked Over | 36c | 41.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…bb3abacked Under | 66c | 40.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Under | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 66c | 37.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 66c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 34c | 34.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 35c | 32.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Under | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…b497backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…b884backed Under | 66c | 29.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Under | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 65c | 23.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Under | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…9f81backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Under | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.