TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked No72c92,414$66,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,875.8615344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c68,319$17,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,426.466,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes28c14,382$4,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,026.8512448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c11,174$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.641,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No73c10,910$7,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.4321253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c9,581$6,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.661,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes28c9,100$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5481,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes13c7,000$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.613040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No73c6,849$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.315655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c5,200$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.994862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c3,776$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.24,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes27c3,400$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9187251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c3,372$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.132,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes26c3,002$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.5724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6eb0…a15cbacked Yes6c3,000$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes26c2,884$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No73c2,054$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.559153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5408043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40513151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.864755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes11c1,311$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c775.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes27c714.59$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9429238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes28c690$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes11c658$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3813327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No73c599.99$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes28c567.86$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1599537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes11c522.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes8c515.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.242,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c507.41$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.871,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Yes27c491.91$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.066055%33 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes11c469.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes28c459.85$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3123250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc130…ceccbacked Yes27c418.81$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a6a6backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f6…1e17backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes10c332.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3218124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked No74c331.08$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes28c323.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0249753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes9c302.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.891,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked No73c299.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes27c299.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8132453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No73c299.97$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed No73c288.77$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.976245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972568%17 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes27c269.56$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7827227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes28c261.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1112741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c249.94$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4859445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Yes10c239$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.071145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No73c229.04$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.846750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed No73c228$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.562356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes7c211.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c206.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0898…3c6dbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c191.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes30c181.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4243241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.411923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No72c180$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed No72c166.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63540%14 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0674…5e43backed No74c165.32$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+186.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes16c160.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1542324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No73c155.74$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.617556%42 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a1…f7afbacked Yes27c152.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd396…2870backed No74c143.82$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.39560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd238…fd25backed Yes14c143.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No73c138.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.510850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…8a9dbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.996553.8%35 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9910232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No78c136.38$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.145749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed No73c133.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes26c131.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0642658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes27c125.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349828.6%28 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ec…fdb7backed Yes10c124.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes28c123$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.444942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Yes28c118.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.163429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Yes12c113$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.562035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No74c112.26$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1936554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes14c110$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.435932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked No73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ec…4b20backed No74c109.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes21c106.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278641.9%36 W · 50 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.