Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf6498ccda147f5d8a40628bcd8941f799b54cf07886ff46fd147524a0b71d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 13,410$6,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,388.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 45c | 2,040$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.97 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 45c | 1,839$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.55 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 713.19$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.26 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 708.94$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.94 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 565.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.62 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 13c | 560.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.67 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 45c | 483.51$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…8296backed No | 70c | 451.15$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 382.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 45c | 238.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 27c | 225$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 38c | 203.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 202.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 167.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Yes | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 28c | 144.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 68c | 124.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 114.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 32c | 100.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…8ffdbacked No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 98.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 45c | 96.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 85.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Yes | 44c | 83.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 45c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 62.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 55c | 58.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…bea0backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed No | 70c | 45.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 79c | 44.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed No | 58c | 36.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…7edbbacked Yes | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 32.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 58c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 17.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.