Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3960875afe023c8e2754016c31e112cc877eab7784000a871fa2199251278849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,410$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 57c | 359.61$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 287.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 59c | 203.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Yes | 67c | 198.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 154.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 28c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 74.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 58c | 49.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 53c | 47.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 58c | 42.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Yes | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 46c | 22.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 22.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-2.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.