TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd12c…f2d4backed Over54c17,664$9,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,529.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c7,629$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.517,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c5,318$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.125,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under46c3,191$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.924353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over57c2,769$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under46c2,045$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.8538747.5%184 W · 203 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over53c1,680$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.46342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over60c1,568$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8104755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c1,273$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.9554650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over24c718$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.322025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Over69c618.82$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32467050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509637.5%36 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over58c518.34$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.8411723.1%27 W · 90 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21214542.8%62 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Under49c396.08$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c321.72$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.992,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over46c292.63$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.611811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-82.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over31c275$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.252725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9670…6589backed Under5c272.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.14119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c263.62$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.972,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under40c257.76$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2450146.1%231 W · 270 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c237.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14031661.7%195 W · 121 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over36c233.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849030%27 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Under55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c216.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020241.6%84 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under12c210$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under46c203$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.621,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9916725.7%43 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over45c157.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7117850.6%90 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8111855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over54c147$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.385662.5%35 W · 21 L+10.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+43.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.593941%16 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c135$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.914257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over62c128.46$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6586960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c115$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.110756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a60…6e83backed Under47c112.77$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c112$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.489058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over54c107.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Under45c105.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.982661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e4…325abacked Over55c101.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3643546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.68658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.610156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb672…456fbacked Over35c88.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.59557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86dc…2570backed Under50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over40c74.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.358650%43 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over54c73.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.753348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014628.1%41 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under70c68.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.496445.3%29 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over54c68.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over32c65.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2147842.9%205 W · 273 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa844…6179backed Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under45c61.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48557.6%49 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.49160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48560%51 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.46155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.49359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.46857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.49159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c57.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.289959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over19c57.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.062,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a4…c55fbacked Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c56.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.711,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269f…c358backed Under50c53.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5411636.2%42 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under47c46.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2534158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over40c43.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.488530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.66960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…17c4backed Under29c39.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+134.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over52c39.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4425263.5%160 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Over34c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under42c37.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.85777.2%44 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+27.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9279…ed18backed Under44c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under46c35.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1711553%61 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under46c32.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.817957%45 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Under46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.612190.5%19 W · 2 L+6.1wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+52.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under42c32.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.97861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Under56c31.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under46c31.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8413842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25463%34 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under50c28.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Under46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.044652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x010b…b668backed Under42c25.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.