Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb07fb4c1365bd3774558999de1178a0dce93d9734a51a99ee1078d29c8bfa26b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting CPof Sporting CP, Estoril Praia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Estoril Praia | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Estoril Praia | 41c | 1,817$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.08 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Sporting CP | 62c | 1,386$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.68 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Estoril Praia | 27c | 853.08$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sporting CP | 69c | 642.27$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Estoril Praia | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sporting CP | 60c | 289.08$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Estoril Praia | 39c | 225$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sporting CP | 62c | 160.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Sporting CP | 65c | 152.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sporting CP | 62c | 135$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Estoril Praia | 14c | 120.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Sporting CP | 62c | 115$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Estoril Praia | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Estoril Praia | 13c | 86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Estoril Praia | 23c | 60.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Sporting CP | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Sporting CP | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Sporting CP | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Sporting CP | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Sporting CP | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Sporting CP | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Sporting CP | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Estoril Praia | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Sporting CP | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Sporting CP | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Sporting CP | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Sporting CP | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Sporting CP | 76c | 29.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Estoril Praia | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Sporting CP | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.