Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c352a23198266bdcc0a7db6d09361a7a37a7b78f90df1b94c0f92a4aec6852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,444$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 1,669$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.76 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 1,576$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.89 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 39c | 1,112$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.82 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 74c | 927.58$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.58 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 59c | 850.88$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.84 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 830.43$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 26c | 680.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.26 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 76c | 658.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 498.84$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 43c | 471.58$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.78 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 76c | 404$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 331.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 68c | 308.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Under | 25c | 263$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 246.17$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 75c | 232.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Over | 30c | 179.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 16c | 171.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…c55fbacked Over | 48c | 144.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 143.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 78c | 141.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Under | 58c | 133.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 15c | 114.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 104.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 48c | 104.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 25c | 102.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 42c | 90.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 52c | 71.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…3ed5backed Under | 55c | 62.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 55.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 46c | 44.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 37c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 27c | 42.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…2bfdbacked Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 26c | 40.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 79c | 31.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 53c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 62c | 21.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 77c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.