Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b90dc13c8dc10e9ef7a26c06e1a415e5393ce78992d9a4cdf533419bdd0c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.97 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,305$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,111$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 30c | 656.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 26c | 540$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed No | 62c | 500$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 52c | 482.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 51c | 472.71$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 44c | 459.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 51c | 439.22$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 50c | 401.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 49c | 225.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…7827backed Yes | 52c | 182.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 39c | 158.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 53c | 116.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 50c | 116.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 95.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 43c | 82.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 76.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 66.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 51c | 36.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…6075backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 51c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 65c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked No | 77c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked No | 74c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.