Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a2ae7e09d16c71fedf661ae38b504d648239efe7864beea3318b8b67803543d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 20,027$14,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…c4fcbacked Over | 30c | 19,930$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 70c | 12,532$8,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 70c | 11,950$8,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 68c | 4,443$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 2,762$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.54 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 1,726$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.67 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 32c | 1,068$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.88 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Over | 30c | 1,061$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 70c | 718.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 35c | 524.48$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.77 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 57c | 415.91$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 32c | 409.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 32c | 378$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 31c | 317.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 71c | 296.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 67c | 229.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 70c | 213$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 71c | 194.17$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 171.48$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 70c | 147.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 75c | 139.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 70c | 137.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 33c | 124.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 34c | 124$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Under | 56c | 121.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 18c | 119.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 99.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 96.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Over | 32c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 78.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 34c | 77.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Under | 67c | 74.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…e87abacked Under | 63c | 53.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdf…509dbacked Under | 56c | 53.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 48.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed Under | 70c | 33.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 72c | 31.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 36c | 30.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…c689backed Under | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Under | 70c | 24.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 78c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.