TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,360

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes60c33,344$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No40c18,062$7,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,837.044553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes78c17,593$13,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,782.063,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No41c12,582$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,412.5643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c9,425$3,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,596.6591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No40c6,284$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,74038247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Yes59c5,084$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.5940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4006858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No41c3,333$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.471275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c2,159$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.82,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Yes59c1,810$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked No38c1,711$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes60c1,648$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No42c1,173$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.618639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004949%24 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Yes59c999.85$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.912157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes58c857.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes60c830$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.96323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed No12c794.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.526556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes60c715.78$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No30c708.08$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.883132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes58c678.97$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.193444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No40c530.65$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.392958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes60c508.33$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2952951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes59c486.3$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2883641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes59c442.37$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Yes60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2366558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes60c389.93$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.961010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-81.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No40c330.23$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1411153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes73c302.76$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes79c299.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No15c267.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.591520%3 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes60c251.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7c…1439backed No40c249.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No29c225.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.182,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes60c222.22$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.331861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No42c218.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.866950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91e…b045backed No10c210.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.91118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+93.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked No40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+104.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked No51c196.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.19875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes58c189.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.843154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes60c184.22$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5311536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No40c180$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1088442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31d…94aebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfff…cbddbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No10c164.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.138239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Yes33c162.09$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8918940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…fb20backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b1…aeeabacked Yes60c152.38$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8720056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.536136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x269f…c358backed No42c109.36$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No42c104.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.43135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Yes59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No32c100.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0370239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed No10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed No10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.564153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed No43c96.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.61560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked No42c96.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.041758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed No34c93.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+115%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3eb…443cbacked No41c92.96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes65c92.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Yes50c92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes68c88.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605738.6%22 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed No14c87.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.271030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+59.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Yes59c84.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes60c84.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.312433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8490…17b5backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Yes59c83.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No41c78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.321,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes60c76.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a49…8786backed Yes59c76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.523949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed No42c73.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.681947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes60c70.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.181136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.