Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdece1b1efc1fb69a33a06b1b88c628d33af1b3dd514012691bbbf354c2b31ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celtic FCof VfB Stuttgart, Celtic FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x711a…9240backed VfB Stuttgart | 1c | 8,484$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VfB Stuttgart | 29c | 7,100$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtic FC | 70c | 3,614$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.63 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed VfB Stuttgart | 30c | 3,556$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.99 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Celtic FC | 69c | 2,717$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.19 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Celtic FC | 74c | 1,941$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.56 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 29c | 1,276$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 15c | 1,249$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtic FC | 70c | 1,179$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.24 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Celtic FC | 69c | 1,170$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.85 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…7763backed VfB Stuttgart | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Celtic FC | 69c | 799.99$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Celtic FC | 73c | 713.59$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.22 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed VfB Stuttgart | 29c | 701$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 8c | 664$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Celtic FC | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Celtic FC | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Celtic FC | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Celtic FC | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed VfB Stuttgart | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed VfB Stuttgart | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Celtic FC | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Celtic FC | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked VfB Stuttgart | 30c | 134.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Celtic FC | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Celtic FC | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Celtic FC | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Celtic FC | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed VfB Stuttgart | 28c | 115.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Celtic FC | 70c | 109.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Celtic FC | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8094…3de1backed VfB Stuttgart | 30c | 96.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed VfB Stuttgart | 30c | 93.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed VfB Stuttgart | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked VfB Stuttgart | 29c | 74.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Celtic FC | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Celtic FC | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Celtic FC | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…a07abacked VfB Stuttgart | 30c | 54.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 30c | 54.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed VfB Stuttgart | 30c | 52.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 52.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Celtic FC | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Celtic FC | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 29c | 48.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 46.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Celtic FC | 72c | 44.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Celtic FC | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Celtic FC | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…d8a0backed Celtic FC | 72c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Celtic FC | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)Celtic FC won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.