Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcd02fb36c8c2a9603bb1761fc4f1ca9569642833c3e0e6e687d451abda5e4ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 65c | 18,632$12,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.21 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 10,337$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 36c | 4,700$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.97 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 1,518$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.82 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 33c | 1,183$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.78 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,137$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.95 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 25c | 1,121$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 1,071$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 897.93$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 47c | 760.08$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.23 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 64c | 581$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 67c | 453.55$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.53 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 35c | 353.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 64c | 292.23$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…aebdbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 131.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 65c | 124.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 74c | 124.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x269f…c358backed Yes | 36c | 116.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 36c | 106.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 36c | 89.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 38c | 88.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked No | 64c | 82.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 65c | 79.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 58c | 78.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes | 38c | 77.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Yes | 38c | 77.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…b320backed No | 73c | 75.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 69.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Yes | 38c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 64c | 66.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 33c | 57.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 36c | 56.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Yes | 38c | 54.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 62c | 53.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 38c | 52.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…a31bbacked Yes | 38c | 44.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 36c | 37.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…54a3backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Yes | 37c | 33.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 32.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…d0d2backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…4ee0backed Yes | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Yes | 38c | 27.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd69…4b8bbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.