South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc6d947433f39c6457f66850af25f9ae8b8222e1a5f59114f99d28ae37abab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 37c | 8,380$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.32 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 5,871$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.73 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 2,739$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.64 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 2,214$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.38 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 1,850$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.54 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 48c | 1,720$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 1,656$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.71 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 41c | 1,543$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.38 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 1,261$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.19 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 29c | 1,154$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 20c | 894.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Yes | 45c | 682.25$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 615.18$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.05 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 67c | 494.19$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 12c | 429.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 347.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 31c | 257.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 238.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…8e48backed No | 63c | 202.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 23c | 199.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 198.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 38c | 188.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 45c | 183$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 31c | 165.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed No | 70c | 133.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…9cb0backed Yes | 46c | 129.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 25c | 124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 108.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 38c | 105.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 53c | 103$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 62c | 96.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 93.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 85.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 63c | 78.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 63c | 78.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 75.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 38c | 72.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 46c | 66.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 62c | 63.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 38c | 63.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 52c | 61.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Yes | 70c | 42.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 41.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 64c | 38.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 64c | 37.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 70c | 35.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 33.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 63c | 31.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Yes | 68c | 29.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked No | 62c | 28.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 71c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…143abacked No | 56c | 27.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 70c | 25.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 63c | 24.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes | 67c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x269f…c358backed Yes | 65c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Yes | 73c | 19.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 56c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 67c | 15.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 71c | 14.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…a31bbacked Yes | 73c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will FC Juárez vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.