South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b6986b08c60cd335da747a6713179654bc0935c4f683e5ea0f36ecd349911a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 27c | 24,224$6,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,642.9 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…629bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 72c | 8,872$6,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.23 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 5,716$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 2,790$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 2,577$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.27 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 8c | 1,822$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 1,517$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.41 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 1,078$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.62 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 27c | 870$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 662.72$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 25c | 662$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 22c | 502$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Yes | 16c | 355.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 346.81$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 299.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 237$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 234.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…e945backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 198.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 28c | 198.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 26c | 171.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 15c | 168.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 142.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 138.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 75c | 127.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes | 31c | 124.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 29c | 124.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 107.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 102.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 12c | 90.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 30c | 82.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 26c | 78.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…df41backed No | 72c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Yes | 28c | 72.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 72c | 68.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d7…f8fbbacked Yes | 29c | 50.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed No | 74c | 48.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…1961backed No | 73c | 47.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 40.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 30.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked No | 73c | 29.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…8e48backed No | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…d117backed No | 73c | 27.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…4fe9backed No | 76c | 21.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…17c4backed No | 74c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 73c | 17.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will FC Juárez vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.