TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Sarmiento vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under39c30,259$11,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,492.171850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over74c17,488$12,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,896.93928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Under39c16,686$6,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,216.933354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over61c11,005$6,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,757.321,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c9,551$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,846.398,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c8,523$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,198.845,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.984339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over61c5,799$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.862,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4403360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5255259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over61c2,326$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.56955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over61c2,004$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.273,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over61c1,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9152263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over61c1,201$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.4339853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over14c1,047$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under39c1,043$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.233951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over71c1,006$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over61c780.97$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.3921839.4%86 W · 132 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c745.87$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.472,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over61c652.01$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.9129747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over56c503.95$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under44c477.27$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.273378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under37c451.5$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9611245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over63c443.62$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5223542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2484953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under30c373.79$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0711323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Over61c356.94$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over63c324.58$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.499649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18311459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa288…401cbacked Over63c295.87$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.42157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over62c283.82$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over59c270$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.36949.3%34 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over61c225$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.255160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Under20c199.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick14cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under37c189$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.072263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under23c181.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4435758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.555155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Over60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over60c160$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.619460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.55752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under46c143.51$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.527053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over61c141.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.66842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over44c129.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under38c120.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.021540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.63259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.26162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.26962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over48c116.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over61c115$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.157856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over56c109.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.349440.9%202 W · 292 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Over63c91.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.93857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.97055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under42c88.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.292842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under39c81.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.012544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over63c76.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0451749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over61c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over75c70$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.39363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over56c68.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9728443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Over62c66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under41c64.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9850746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86dc…2570backed Over63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under38c61.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.63959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.63759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over58c57.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4317066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over21c56.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Under59c55.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2135…9e8fbacked Under38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.53447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.56558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2983642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd040…4e6bbacked Under50c49.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.66850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dbb…2e57backed Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Over63c47.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.053663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over28c46.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.894944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Over64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over60c36.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.912,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under42c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8824253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e7…9cc7backed Under41c30.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.34163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e85…73eebacked Over61c26.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under40c26.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7716347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Over61c25.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.