South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Sarmiento vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd54603810ec746b1cac546f1eb8ab55978b882cd577e34b646781b584629e721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 39c | 30,259$11,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,492.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 74c | 17,488$12,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,896.9 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Under | 39c | 16,686$6,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,216.93 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 61c | 11,005$6,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,757.32 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 9,551$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,846.39 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 8,523$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.84 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.98 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 5,799$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 61c | 2,326$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 2,004$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.27 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 61c | 1,201$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.43 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 14c | 1,047$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 39c | 1,043$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 71c | 1,006$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 61c | 780.97$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.39 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 745.87$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.47 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 61c | 652.01$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.91 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 56c | 503.95$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 44c | 477.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 37c | 451.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.96 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 63c | 443.62$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 30c | 373.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.07 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Over | 61c | 356.94$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 63c | 324.58$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Over | 63c | 295.87$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 62c | 283.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 59c | 270$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 61c | 225$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Under | 20c | 199.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 14cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 37c | 189$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 23c | 181.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.44 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 60c | 160$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 46c | 143.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 61c | 141.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 44c | 129.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 38c | 120.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 48c | 116.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 61c | 115$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 109.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked Over | 63c | 91.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 42c | 88.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 39c | 81.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 63c | 76.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 75c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 56c | 68.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed Over | 62c | 66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 41c | 64.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…2570backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 38c | 61.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 58c | 57.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 21c | 56.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Under | 59c | 55.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…9e8fbacked Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Under | 50c | 49.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…2e57backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 63c | 47.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 28c | 46.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 36.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…9cc7backed Under | 41c | 30.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…73eebacked Over | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 40c | 26.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Over | 61c | 25.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Sarmiento vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Sarmiento vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Sarmiento vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AA Estudiantes (-2.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)AA Estudiantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.