CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97288776941f67172e4d5e99ac83a678cfcf1862e3f049558280223fdde0e9ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Yawara Esports, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 3,622$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.78 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yawara Esports | 78c | 3,111$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.13 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yawara Esports | 62c | 2,661$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.9 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 2,444$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.43 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yawara Esports | 67c | 1,471$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.9 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Yawara Esports | 80c | 1,111$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.7 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 1,074$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.47 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 885.37$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.93 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 715.09$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yawara Esports | 64c | 514.36$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.9 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yawara Esports | 6c | 470.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 353$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…063dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 351.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1f26backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 32c | 316.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 311.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 308$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Yawara Esports | 78c | 297$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 296.31$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 280$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 254$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 235.89$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Yawara Esports | 22c | 219.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 206.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Yawara Esports | 31c | 199.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yawara Esports | 77c | 157.68$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Yawara Esports | 24c | 134.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 134.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Yawara Esports | 12c | 129.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 126.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 125.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yawara Esports | 32c | 124.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yawara Esports | 48c | 124.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 103.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed Yawara Esports | 19c | 102.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Yawara Esports | 17c | 96.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yawara Esports | 15c | 78.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…a300backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 78.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Yawara Esports | 23c | 76.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 19c | 72.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 72.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Yawara Esports | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 66.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 64.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247a…7248backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 59.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 57.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 49.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…770abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 52c | 44.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 43.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…6498backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 37.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 36.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yawara Esports | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…5d05backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 49c | 21.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…3ce2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…bc05backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 186 | 80.6%150 W · 36 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.