Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f776991851a488f8fa8efbffe6848f1eef79b0cc58f5593f3cd4515791a1f4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 53c | 27,991$14,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,045.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 6,259$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 4,452$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.49 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 47c | 3,447$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 5c | 2,138$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 2,026$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.83 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 2,011$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.05 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 44c | 1,861$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.79 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 1,528$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 14c | 999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 965.8$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.47 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 47c | 812$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.64 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 638.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.62 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 43c | 402.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 397.34$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 381$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.07 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 295.76$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 48c | 242.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 45c | 133.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 46c | 59.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Under | 55c | 45.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Over | 47c | 38.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 29.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 47c | 28.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa989…0108backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…5d05backed Under | 55c | 18.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.