Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7515d5490e7d4d1a12877bfd438b4a11bd09122449b5594a01d5cb661e02fed1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 7,889$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 4,785$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.01 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 71c | 2,820$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.19 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 1,550$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.03 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 62c | 1,106$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.76 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 951.17$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 784.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 720.63$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.13 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 39c | 610.33$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.91 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 64c | 519.39$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.92 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Over | 70c | 276.3$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 64c | 245$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 47c | 212.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 196.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 47c | 178$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 63c | 161.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 125$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 60c | 100.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 40c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Over | 27c | 87.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 50c | 87.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 72.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 30c | 66.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 32c | 46.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 43c | 46.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…fac4backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 62c | 24.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.