Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda99b22fd502f416112a2e1af8e9506c6e0467ea7b8c1f25254dbaa26a4cdcd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 693.66$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.59 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 41c | 608$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 402.64$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.23 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 65c | 264.31$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 23c | 198.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 52c | 179.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…5bb8backed No | 79c | 165$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 55c | 92.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 78.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…8fb7backed Yes | 53c | 46.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 46c | 45.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 77c | 37.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ca…51a5backed Yes | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…8da5backed No | 64c | 28.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked No | 60c | 24.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.