Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0685a683ae6a2f9b61bb63bd269086eafcf995dcace57977e626b005df3de6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Xtreme Gaming, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 49,715$34,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,273.51 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 19,214$6,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,033.24 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 14,106$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.71 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 7,433$5,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.55 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 6,752$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 6,500$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 4,700$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.96 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 4,476$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.99 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 4,271$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.91 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 4,233$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.84 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,487$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.62 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 2,893$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.34 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 2,648$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.78 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 2,451$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.47 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,255$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.19 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 2,250$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 2,227$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.18 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 2,069$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.93 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,877$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.87 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,823$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.74 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,620$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 1,544$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,321$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.75 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…17c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,156$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,000$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 963.29$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 935$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.42 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…aef4backed Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 849.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 844.59$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.82 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 812.9$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 765$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 745.49$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 708$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.28 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 694.11$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.26 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 690.32$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 671$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 650.92$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 647$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 638.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 637.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 625$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 605.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 600$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 592.1$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 546.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 529.07$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 494.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 477.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 468.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…bbefbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 435.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 433.59$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 374.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 361.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 356$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 352.15$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…c0cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 338$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 336.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 330.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0473…f001backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 314$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 297$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 293.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 287.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 284.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 281$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…9881backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 272.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 270.13$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 264.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 263.89$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 257.73$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 252.43$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…3101backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 234.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 234.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 230.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…9885backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 225.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…a854backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 225.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 225.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 222.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…4b3fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 219$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 211.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 205.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 201.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 200.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.