Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3960e76808f9785876e8497b18a88be871f447a7780a244b9f5a81dd3e964ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Xtreme Gaming, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 34,122$19,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,035.6 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 22,451$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,230.43 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 17,945$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.91 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 10,270$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.43 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 10,198$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.7 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 8,871$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.41 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 6,770$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.49 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 6,227$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.86 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 5,457$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.52 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 5,449$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.47 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 4,693$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.24 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 4,030$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 3,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.1 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 3,488$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.73 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 3,076$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.71 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 3,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.29 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 2,723$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 2,415$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 2,297$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 2,258$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,660$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.48 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,647$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,609$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.71 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,458$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 1,412$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 1,404$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.46 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,373$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.53 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,205$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,151$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…ee2abacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,076$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,064$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.05 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 995$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.75 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 947.78$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 759.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 722.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 657.76$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 639.92$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.16 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 556.45$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.11 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 551.92$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.82 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 518.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…5d2cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 499.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 423.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 418.08$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 406.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 371$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 360.12$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 351.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 331.04$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 330$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 327.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 327.27$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 315.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 309$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 300$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 278.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 270.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 264.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 257.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 219.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 218.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 205.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 202.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 197.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 189.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 174.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 156.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 148$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…9facbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 142.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 135.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 129.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7c…e97bbacked Tundra Esports | 9c | 125$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 119.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 114.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 102.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 100.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.