Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa7039814a5bc6dd8d82c6a4547ab323873cb5fdb174a84e6b04a0800c5a6864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Xtreme Gaming, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 49,082$16,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,786.16 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 20,967$12,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,967.31 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 15,134$12,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.79 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 8,229$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.62 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 7,345$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.63 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 6,910$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.44 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 6,739$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.08 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 6,041$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.51 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 5,919$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.5 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 5,098$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.98 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 4,777$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.28 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 2,751$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.31 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,696$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.96 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 2,315$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,033$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.84 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,717$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.02 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,648$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.4 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,432$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.43 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,244$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.03 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 750$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.75 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 638.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 637.72$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 580$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.28 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 480$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 422.19$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 397.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 356.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 351.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 342.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 335.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 322.9$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 314.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 306.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 275.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 243.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 229.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 225.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 220$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 54cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 212$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 194.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 189.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa612…3397backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 189.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 171.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 167.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 159.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 157.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 156.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 156.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…7affbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 147.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 146.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 141.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 133.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…9a90backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 128.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 122.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 107.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 88.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 82.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…5d2cbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…27ccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 71.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 67.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 66.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.