Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa45090db2bbce83fc420f4bc3196a37a2475a57d0716ca860af3c60e85c9f42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Colorado Buffaloes, Houston Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 7c | 4,987$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Colorado Buffaloes | 6c | 2,339$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Colorado Buffaloes | 8c | 1,930$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 7c | 1,271$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 10c | 1,049$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…45f0backed Colorado Buffaloes | 6c | 915.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Colorado Buffaloes | 7c | 726.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Colorado Buffaloes | 10c | 719.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Colorado Buffaloes | 7c | 626.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Buffaloes | 5c | 605.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 7c | 602.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Colorado Buffaloes | 4c | 460.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Colorado Buffaloes | 5c | 417.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 5c | 408.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 4c | 374.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Colorado Buffaloes | 10c | 366.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 8c | 325.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 7c | 301.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Colorado Buffaloes | 6c | 296.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 5c | 295.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Colorado Buffaloes | 6c | 247.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Colorado Buffaloes | 7c | 229.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 7c | 229.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Colorado Buffaloes | 7c | 222.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Colorado Buffaloes | 5c | 219.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…8024backed Colorado Buffaloes | 6c | 186.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 8c | 180.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston Cougarsthis page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 138.5Over won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-19.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-20.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.