Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Houston Cougars (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc22b3ffdb15d40a40da2900e558b291ec087b3d4934f150d2563b6174f1bbc4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 12,067$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,032.42 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 5,546$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.14 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 5,486$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.14 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 5,284$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.6 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 3,742$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.59 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 2,776$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.51 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 1,602$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.95 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 1,240$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.37 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 1,203$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Houston Cougars | 51c | 1,060$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.05 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Houston Cougars | 52c | 953.14$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.51 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Houston Cougars | 54c | 918.24$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.59 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 838.6$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.5 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Cougars | 47c | 755.63$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.43 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 670$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Cougars | 48c | 550.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.77 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Houston Cougars | 47c | 447.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.95 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 202.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Houston Cougars | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 120.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 74.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Houston Cougars | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 32.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 24.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Colorado Buffaloes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-19.5)this page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 138.5Over won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-20.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.