TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Nicholls Colonels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicholls Colonelsof Southeastern Louisiana Lions, Nicholls Colonels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe911…3d4ebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions28c1,041$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.461,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Nicholls Colonels54c864.22$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.122,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions42c843.82$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.544,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions33c796.89$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.291,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb8…536fbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c765.35$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions44c736.77$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.012,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Nicholls Colonels59c723.16$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.092,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nicholls Colonels63c503.93$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.474,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nicholls Colonels65c459.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.023,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nicholls Colonels57c324$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.761,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nicholls Colonels64c274.77$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.921,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions40c249.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.670936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Nicholls Colonels59c245.15$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.821,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions26c243.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fc…28abbacked Nicholls Colonels65c223.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.128748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nicholls Colonels63c221.78$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.382,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Nicholls Colonels57c218.26$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.345050%25 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Nicholls Colonels57c173.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7940252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Nicholls Colonels67c148.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8717062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions37c131.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.325,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Nicholls Colonels54c116$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3627055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Nicholls Colonels64c99.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7144549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions57c94.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.546549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions35c91.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.431,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions36c67.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2335852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions43c57.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.891,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nicholls Colonels50c52.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nicholls Colonels64c52.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.931,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions36c51.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions44c41.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.323,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c1…610abacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c39.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.471040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Nicholls Colonels57c34.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.962055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc58…1e76backed Nicholls Colonels57c31.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.461330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nicholls Colonels63c29.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef49…1207backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions37c29.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.911717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d32…e99ebacked Nicholls Colonels52c28.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Nicholls Colonels72c27.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.725341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Nicholls Colonels57c22.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.384035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Nicholls Colonels69c21.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.723542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a26…dae7backed Nicholls Colonels78c18.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.