TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9c1…610a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.98
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$59.61
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.97
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$29.57
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.52
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$75.31
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Golden Knights vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$52.84
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$72.06
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57.8
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$71.31
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$289.03
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.48
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$64.98
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.37
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$84.44
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$77.85
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$254.03
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$72.96
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$86.93
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+455.6%+$111.61
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$80.32
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.61
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.32
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$90.61
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$70.59
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.74
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+95.5%+$143.52
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$71.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.9
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+130.8%+$33.67
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.47
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.63
SIUE Cougars vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$73.5
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Princeton Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$118.92
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25.4%+$12.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$78.68
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$47.08
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$68.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$46.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$99.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.