Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Colorado State Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa044b01aac0eb07952b682f4ed0f0905d8f96c50af01230ca9fa20c14560384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Colorado Buffaloes, Colorado State Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Colorado State Rams | 79c | 6,400$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.1 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 21c | 6,013$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.66 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado State Rams | 38c | 5,019$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 2,932$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.93 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado State Rams | 71c | 2,750$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Colorado State Rams | 40c | 2,147$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.09 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…ec11backed Colorado Buffaloes | 23c | 1,264$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State Rams | 68c | 968.96$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.15 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Colorado Buffaloes | 26c | 854.31$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 812.77$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 47c | 655.23$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colorado State Rams | 79c | 620$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Buffaloes | 57c | 579.29$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colorado State Rams | 74c | 530.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State Rams | 53c | 496.81$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 44c | 451.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Buffaloes | 28c | 414.04$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Colorado Buffaloes | 65c | 384.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 301.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Colorado Buffaloes | 67c | 294.24$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Buffaloes | 21c | 234.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Colorado State Rams | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…55c8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Colorado Buffaloes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Colorado State Rams | 64c | 159.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Colorado Buffaloes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado State Rams | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Colorado State Rams | 50c | 133.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Colorado Buffaloes | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Colorado State Rams | 62c | 89.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Colorado State Rams | 61c | 78.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Buffaloes | 19c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 30c | 71.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…610abacked Colorado State Rams | 80c | 62.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…36d8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Colorado State Rams | 58c | 41.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Colorado State Rams | 70c | 33.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Colorado State Rams | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Colorado State Ramsthis page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 148.5Over won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-2.5)Colorado State Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.