Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Elon Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ffd7eb26d31e57b88de87cd2eea0125ce8938d4a3399f283b0512e31248cd87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stony Brook Seawolvesof Stony Brook Seawolves, Elon Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Elon Phoenix | 43c | 3,112$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.12 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 2,823$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…261cbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 62c | 1,728$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.53 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…f73ebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 37c | 1,718$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 59c | 1,564$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.9 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elon Phoenix | 64c | 1,512$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 64c | 1,266$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.16 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Elon Phoenix | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Elon Phoenix | 25c | 752.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…fcb7backed Elon Phoenix | 62c | 610$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…fbcebacked Elon Phoenix | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…9712backed Elon Phoenix | 62c | 590$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…17babacked Elon Phoenix | 63c | 590$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…287ebacked Elon Phoenix | 63c | 570$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba6…bae8backed Elon Phoenix | 63c | 560$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Elon Phoenix | 30c | 379.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 76c | 330.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 39c | 253.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 196.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 196.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 36c | 112$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 52c | 107.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Elon Phoenix | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 59c | 76.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 69c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 34c | 74.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…610abacked Elon Phoenix | 65c | 70.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Elon Phoenix | 53c | 64.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…c157backed Elon Phoenix | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Elon Phoenix | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 63c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 77c | 52.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Elon Phoenix | 23c | 50.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 42c | 48.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Elon Phoenix | 66c | 45.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Elon Phoenix | 66c | 43.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Elon Phoenix | 65c | 41.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Elon Phoenix | 42c | 40.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Elon Phoenix | 30c | 39.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 38.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Elon Phoenix | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Elon Phoenix | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…0275backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 57c | 22.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…70acbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Elon Phoenixthis page
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-4.5)Stony Brook Seawolves won
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 147.5Under won
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.