MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a86b5b9515af7983392b371defdfa0578f3a15ca123f31b16cc3b0a1656ba35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Boston Red Sox | 5c | 47,736$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 12,888$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.89 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 12,373$6,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,682.77 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 11,351$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,356.58 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.07 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 9,730$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.55 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 9,528$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.6 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 7,777$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.67 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 6,800$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.49 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 5,848$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.8 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 5,217$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 4,761$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.53 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,809$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.24 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 3,148$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 2,594$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 2,590$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.96 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 2,254$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.45 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,218$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,205$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.75 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 2,145$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,992$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.55 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.52 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,747$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.37 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,635$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.73 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,562$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.15 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,545$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.7 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 1,476$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.95 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,450$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.01 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,105$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.8 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,027$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.74 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 993.01$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.06 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 976$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.07 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 934$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.16 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 908.37$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.01 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Boston Red Sox | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 849.22$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 837$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 801.71$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 739.96$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 691.29$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.21 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 624.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 518.18$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 499.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 455$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 453$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 446.72$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.03 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 413.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 389$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 383.29$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 355.16$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 344.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.33 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 330.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 315.44$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.68 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 292.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 282.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 270.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 267.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 253.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 252.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Boston Red Sox | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 243.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 239.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 215.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 213.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ef93backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 181.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 172.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 169.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 166.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 148.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 148.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 144$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…6a13backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 143.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 142$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…5bedbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 137.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 133.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.