NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddafdcc607aa75f8c739a03295fbb12b2de66d175c023124e326437c983fca50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $645,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sharks | 47c | 128,582$60,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,476.74 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 46c | 115,000$52,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,299.77 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 47c | 108,000$50,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,459.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Flames | 48c | 50,000$23,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,002.47 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 54c | 20,607$11,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,125.33 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sharks | 55c | 19,091$10,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,479.03 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Sharks | 55c | 16,245$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flames | 45c | 15,775$7,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,668.27 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 44c | 14,955$6,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,337.08 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Sharks | 54c | 13,460$7,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,268.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked Sharks | 54c | 12,989$7,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,013.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sharks | 55c | 12,502$6,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,876 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Sharks | 54c | 11,761$6,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,350.72 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks | 54c | 11,495$6,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,171.24 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sharks | 55c | 11,000$6,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.91 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Sharks | 54c | 10,796$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Sharks | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sharks | 49c | 8,941$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.66 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Sharks | 54c | 8,800$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sharks | 54c | 8,401$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.79 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Flames | 46c | 8,172$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.03 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Sharks | 54c | 7,809$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Sharks | 48c | 7,509$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.8 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks | 2c | 7,449$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Sharks | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 44c | 7,129$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks | 53c | 6,958$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.48 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks | 53c | 6,390$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.62 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Sharks | 53c | 6,200$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.03 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Flames | 47c | 5,862$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.86 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flames | 45c | 5,693$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.34 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Flames | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sharks | 54c | 5,155$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.7 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.95 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 46c | 4,570$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.74 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Sharks | 54c | 4,400$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sharks | 53c | 4,381$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.59 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 47c | 4,016$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.21 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sharks | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flames | 45c | 3,800$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.91 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sharks | 54c | 3,275$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.34 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sharks | 55c | 3,113$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.96 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sharks | 54c | 3,074$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.79 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Flames | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Flames | 45c | 2,916$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.07 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Sharks | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks | 43c | 2,571$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.87 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 51c | 2,281$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.61 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 46c | 2,154$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.2 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Sharks | 54c | 1,935$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flames | 32c | 1,907$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.63 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 53c | 1,640$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.48 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sharks | 53c | 1,600$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Flames | 41c | 1,351$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.4 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Sharks | 54c | 1,341$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.37 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Sharks | 54c | 1,313$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.85 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Flames | 46c | 1,308$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.82 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Flames | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Sharks | 76c | 1,260$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.72 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Sharks | 54c | 1,206$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 45c | 1,200$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 13c | 1,162$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sharks | 32c | 1,139$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.1 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sharks | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Flames | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Sharks | 5c | 1,081$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Sharks | 55c | 1,073$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…7492backed Sharks | 54c | 1,069$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flames | 39c | 1,050$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.82 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 54c | 1,011$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.94 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Sharks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Flames | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Flames | 46c | 999.92$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.96 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Sharks | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sharks | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Sharks | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…cd9abacked Sharks | 75c | 920.04$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Sharks | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sharks | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks | 19c | 868.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Flames | 47c | 852.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.74 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sharks | 43c | 850.78$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.25 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Sharks | 54c | 840$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Sharks | 54c | 822.22$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Sharks | 54c | 764$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.56 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Flames | 52c | 720.51$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.11 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sharks | 53c | 648$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Sharks | 54c | 643.1$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Sharks | 54c | 642.59$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 71c | 636.88$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Flames | 46c | 630.27$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.28 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Sharks | 54c | 620.37$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…dcc8backed Sharks | 54c | 608.59$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Sharks | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Sharks | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…3456backed Sharks | 54c | 583.04$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.84 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sharks | 55c | 562.31$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.68 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Sharksthis page
- Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.