TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Iowa State Cyclones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders17c26,122$4,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,656.011,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Texas Tech Red Raiders17c16,419$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,627.3774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders62c7,925$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Texas Tech Red Raiders18c6,332$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.2921149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders69c3,956$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.324,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Iowa State Cyclones43c3,865$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.961,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Iowa State Cyclones49c3,687$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.0134943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Iowa State Cyclones74c2,780$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.7649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders18c2,497$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.4410622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas Tech Red Raiders30c2,362$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.292,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…03ecbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders79c1,828$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.19366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Iowa State Cyclones41c1,805$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9270936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders17c1,756$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.4734746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Iowa State Cyclones16c1,661$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.247530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Iowa State Cyclones20c1,414$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7731837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders62c1,272$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.82,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Texas Tech Red Raiders72c1,228$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.522,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders16c1,200$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.9955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Iowa State Cyclones13c1,139$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.425130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas Tech Red Raiders58c1,036$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.322,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Iowa State Cyclones48c826.05$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.5114325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Iowa State Cyclones21c820.13$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1731646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texas Tech Red Raiders44c679.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.581,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders53c651.05$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.293,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Texas Tech Red Raiders56c642.21$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.333464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Iowa State Cyclones35c543.66$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.63,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Iowa State Cyclones12c520.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6577142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders66c517.47$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.163,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Texas Tech Red Raiders80c497.2$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.443568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7264…308ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders19c497.05$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+139%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders37c495.94$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9422157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Iowa State Cyclones53c465.37$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.867227.8%20 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Iowa State Cyclones13c439.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.21931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Iowa State Cyclones23c378.68$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.14221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Iowa State Cyclones22c362.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7912540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Texas Tech Red Raiders18c331.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9225049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Iowa State Cyclones25c324.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.85939%23 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Texas Tech Red Raiders17c323.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.343850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders19c314.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4113561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Texas Tech Red Raiders19c314.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.415154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders66c304.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.495,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Tech Red Raiders18c298.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7919238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders19c298.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.692,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Iowa State Cyclones33c247.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders40c236.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.915240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Iowa State Cyclones71c233.42$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.731963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Iowa State Cyclones23c216.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8636535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380a…c51abacked Iowa State Cyclones23c211.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.691233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Iowa State Cyclones28c199.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3916436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Texas Tech Red Raiders17c175.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7510034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Iowa State Cyclones24c160.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.131,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Texas Tech Red Raiders63c157.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.814544.4%20 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b84…a239backed Iowa State Cyclones22c154.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders67c153.61$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.381528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders16c140$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.631537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders17c138.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.79947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa State Cyclones12c129.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.464,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Texas Tech Red Raiders17c128.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7129845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Iowa State Cyclones31c115.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.461,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Iowa State Cyclones22c113.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders18c110.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.649745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x453f…6b3bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders17c108.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.172352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Iowa State Cyclones12c106.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.781936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Iowa State Cyclones44c105.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5616746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6212…4eb3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders19c104.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.86936.2%25 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f51…e179backed Texas Tech Red Raiders29c102.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.922516%4 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Texas Tech Red Raiders17c99.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5916721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders17c99.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.591,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders17c99.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.598834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders20c99.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ad…bda1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders28c99.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.491776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+52.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders28c99.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.491,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…4a48backed Texas Tech Red Raiders17c92.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.765520%11 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders72c79.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.648641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Iowa State Cyclones49c76.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.576549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Texas Tech Red Raiders17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.816755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Iowa State Cyclones27c57.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.694035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Iowa State Cyclones56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Texas Tech Red Raiders55c47.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4627055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c30.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.942245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Iowa State Cyclones79c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8415066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Texas Tech Red Raiders75c26.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.621855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Iowa State Cyclones80c15.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders68c14.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8131666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.